2016 인디애나 주 미국 대통령 선거 - 2016 United States presidential election in Indiana

2016 인디애나 주 미국 대통령 선거

2012 년 2016 년 11 월 8 일 2020 년
투표율 58 % [ 인용 필요 ]
Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
후보자 도날드 트럼프 힐러리 클린턴
파티 공화주의자 민주주의
집 상태 뉴욕 뉴욕
러닝 메이트 마이크 펜스 팀 케인
선거 투표 11 0
인기 투표 1,557,286 1,033,126
백분율 56.47 % 37.46 %

Indiana Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
카운티 결과

선거 전 대통령

버락 오바마
민주당

선출 된 대통령

도널드 트럼프
공화당

카운티 별 인기 투표 트리 맵.

인디애나에서 2016 미국 대통령 선거 의 일환으로, 2016년 11월 8일 (화요일)에 개최 된 2016 미국 대통령 선거에서 50 개 주를 더한있는 워싱턴 DC가 참가했다. 인디애나 유권자들은 공화당 후보자, 사업가 도널드 트럼프 , 러닝 메이트 인디애나 주지사 마이크 펜스민주당 후보자, 힐러리 클린턴국무 장관 , 그리고 그녀 선거 를 반대하는 인기 투표를 통해 선거인단을 대표 할 유권자를 선택했습니다. 메이트 버지니아 상원 의원 Tim Kaine . 인디애나는 선거인단에서 11 표를 얻었습니다. [1]

트럼프는 56.47 %의 득표율로 주를 이겼고 클린턴은 37.46 %를 받았다. [2] 인디애나는 이미 공화당주의 국가였던 트럼프 선거 운동에 중요한 지원을 제공 한 것으로 여겨지는 펜스의 고향입니다.

예측

출처 순위 현재
CNN [3] 안전한 R 2016 년 11 월 4 일
쿡 정치 보고서 [4] 가능성있는 R 2016 년 11 월 7 일
Electoral-vote.com [5] 안전한 R 2016 년 11 월 7 일
NBC [6] 린 R 2016 년 11 월 7 일
RealClearPolitics [7] 가능성있는 R 2016 년 11 월 7 일
Sabato의 수정 구슬 [8] 안전한 R 2016 년 11 월 7 일

결과

사무용 겉옷

인디애나에서 2016 년 미국 대통령 선거 [9]
파티 후보자 투표 % ± %
공화주의자 도널드 트럼프
마이크 펜스
1,557,286 56.9 % + 2.8 %
민주주의 힐러리 클린턴
팀 케인
1,033,126 37.8 % -6.1 %
자유 주의자 게리 존슨
빌 용접
133,993 4.9 % + 3.0 %
초록 Jill Stein (쓰기)
Ajamu Baraka
7,841 0.3 % + 0.1 %
헌법 Darrell Castle (기입)
Scott Bradley
1,937 0.1 % + 0.1 %
쓰기 775 0.0 % N / A
총 투표 2,734,958 100.00 %

의회 지구별

트럼프는 의회 9 개 중 7 개 지구에서 승리했습니다. [10]

지구 지우다 클린턴 대리인
1 위 41 % 54 % 피트 비스 클로 스키
2 차 59 % 36 % Jackie Walorski
3 차 65 % 30 % 말린 스터 츠 만
4 위 64 % 30 % 토드 로키 타
5 위 53 % 41 % 수잔 브룩스
6 위 68 % 27 % 루크 메서
7 위 36 % 58 % 안드레 카슨
8 위 64 % 31 % 래리 벅숀
9 일 61 % 34 % 토드 영

카운티 별

힐러리 로댐 클린턴

민주주의

도널드 존 트럼프

공화주의자

다양한 후보자

기타 당사자

합계
% # % # % # #
아담스 21.43 % 2,805 73.71 % 9,648 4.87 % 637 13,090
앨런 37.64 % 55,382 57.04 % 83,930 5.32 % 7,825 147,137
바르톨로 뮤 30.29 % 9,841 63.53 % 20,640 6.18 % 2,009 32,490
Benton 23.46 % 860 70.35 % 2,579 6.19 % 227 3,666
Blackford 25.69 % 1,243 69.23 % 3,350 5.08 % 246 4,839
31.64 % 10,181 61.08 % 19,654 7.28 % 2,343 32,178
갈색 31.69 % 2,518 63.13 % 5,016 5.17 % 411 7,945
캐롤 21.89 % 1,892 72.58 % 6,273 5.53 % 478 8,643
Cass 26.46 % 3,759 68.27 % 9,701 5.27 % 749 14,209
클락 36.77 % 18,808 58.72 % 30,035 4.50 % 2,304 51,147
점토 20.44 % 2,306 75.62 % 8,531 3.94 % 445 11,282
클린턴 23.62 % 2,819 71.47 % 8,531 4.91 % 586 11,936
Crawford 28.80 % 1,323 65.64 % 3,015 5.55 % 255 4,593
데이비스 16.72 % 1,800 79.36 % 8,545 3.93 % 423 10,768
디어 본 20.36 % 4,883 75.51 % 18,113 4.13 % 991 23,987
디케 이터 19.06 % 2,121 76.30 % 8,490 4.64 % 516 11,127
DeKalb 23.32 % 3,942 71.32 % 12,054 5.36 % 906 16,902
델라웨어 40.23 % 18,153 53.77 % 24,263 6.0 % 2,707 45,123
Dubois 26.97 % 5,389 66.88 % 13,365 6.15 % 1,230 19,984
Elkhart 31.60 % 20,740 63.79 % 41,867 4.61 % 3,023 65,630
페이 에트 23.63 % 2,252 71.76 % 6,839 4.61 % 439 9,530
플로이드 37.26 % 13,945 57.27 % 21,432 5.47 % 2,048 37,425
분수 19.70 % 1,476 75.57 % 5,662 4.73 % 354 7,492
프랭클린 17.88 % 1,969 78.72 % 8,669 3.41 % 375 11,013
풀톤 23.41 % 1,960 71.77 % 6,010 4.82 % 404 8,374
Gibson 24.03 % 3,721 71.56 % 11,081 4.40 % 682 15,484
부여 27.69 % 7,010 67.19 % 17,008 5.11 % 1,294 25,312
그린 21.22 % 2,929 74.47 % 10,277 4.31 % 595 13,801
해밀턴 37.12 % 57,263 56.66 % 87,404 6.22 % 9,589 154,256
핸콕 24.61 % 8,904 69.30 % 25,074 6.09 % 2,203 36,181
해리슨 25.77 % 4,783 69.74 % 12,943 4.48 % 832 18,558
Hendricks 29.91 % 22,600 63.97 % 48,337 6.12 % 4,622 75,559
헨리 25.42 % 5,124 68.94 % 13,895 5.64 % 1,136 20,155
하워드 30.44 % 11,215 64.26 % 23,675 5.30 % 1,953 36,843
헌팅턴 21.85 % 3,506 72.61 % 11,649 5.54 % 888 16,043
잭슨 21.87 % 3,843 73.17 % 12,859 4.96 % 871 17,573
벽옥 24.88 % 3,329 70.13 % 9,382 4.99 % 667 13,378
어치 23.65 % 1,889 71.34 % 5,697 5.01 % 400 7,986
제퍼슨 31.94 % 4,326 63.10 % 8,546 4.96 % 672 13,544
제닝스 21.20 % 2,364 73.76 % 8,224 5.04 % 562 11,150
존슨 26.04 % 17,318 68.35 % 45,456 5.60 % 3,726 66,500
녹스 24.31 % 3,772 71.39 % 11,077 4.30 % 667 15,516
Kosciusko 19.68 % 6,313 74.60 % 23,935 5.72 % 1,836 32,084
LaGrange 21.74 % 2,080 73.44 % 7,025 4.82 % 461 9,566
호수 58.12 % 116,935 37.59 % 75,625 4.30 % 8,645 201,205
LaPorte 43.80 % 19,798 50.19 % 22,687 6.01 % 2,718 45,203
로렌스 21.98 % 4,210 73.28 % 14,035 4.74 % 907 19,152
Madison 34.49 % 18,595 60.06 % 32,376 5.45 % 2,938 53,909
마리온 58.75 % 212,899 35.97 % 130,360 5.27 % 19,113 362,372
마샬 26.53 % 4,798 67.96 % 12,288 5.51 % 996 18,082
남자 이름 18.32 % 881 76.88 % 3,697 4.80 % 231 4,809
마이애미 20.52 % 2,766 73.99 % 9,975 5.50 % 741 13,482
먼로 58.53 % 34,216 35.23 % 20,592 6.24 % 3,646 58,454
몽고메리 22.18 % 3,362 72.97 % 11,059 4.85 % 735 15,156
Morgan 19.31 % 6,040 75.68 % 23,674 5.01 % 1,566 31,280
뉴턴 24.23 % 1,404 70.35 % 4,077 5.42 % 314 5,795
고귀한 23.11 % 3,904 72.22 % 12,198 4.67 % 788 16,890
오하이오 23.49 % 686 72.51 % 2,118 4.01 % 117 2,921
주황색 25.00 % 2,048 70.84 % 5,803 4.16 % 341 8,192
오웬 22.74 % 1,946 71.91 % 6,153 5.35 % 458 8,557
Parke 21.89 % 1,441 73.88 % 4,863 4.22 % 278 6,582
페리 38.01 % 3,062 56.56 % 4,556 5.43 % 437 8,055
단창 21.70 % 1,297 73.58 % 4,398 4.72 % 282 5,977
문지기 43.63 % 33,676 50.31 % 38,832 6.07 % 4,682 77,190
포시 28.24 % 3,521 67.41 % 8,404 4.35 % 542 12,467
풀라 스키 24.31 % 1,327 70.60 % 3,854 5.09 % 278 5,459
Putnam 22.81 % 3,356 72.29 % 10,637 4.91 % 722 14,715
랜돌프 23.39 % 2,446 71.88 % 7,517 4.73 % 495 10,458
리플리 19.29 % 2,471 76.55 % 9,806 4.16 % 533 12,810
돌진 21.14 % 1,525 73.36 % 5,292 5.50 % 397 7,214
스콧 29.03 % 2,642 66.74 % 6,074 4.23 % 385 9,101
Shelby 23.60 % 4,247 70.68 % 12,718 5.72 % 1,029 17,994
스펜서 28.67 % 2,861 65.86 % 6,572 5.47 % 546 9,979
세인트 조셉 47.48 % 52,252 47.27 % 52,021 5.26 % 5,787 110,060
Starke 26.98 % 2,489 69.01 % 6,367 4.01 % 370 9,226
Steuben 25.70 % 3,744 69.57 % 10,133 4.73 % 689 14,566
설리반 24.69 % 2,113 71.71 % 6,138 3.60 % 308 8,559
스위스 25.14 % 930 69.15 % 2,558 5.70 % 211 3,699
Tippecanoe 43.64 % 27,282 49.22 % 30,768 7.14 % 4,465 62,515
Tipton 21.13 % 1,587 74.42 % 5,589 4.45 % 334 7,510
노동 조합 21.73 % 715 74.29 % 2,445 3.98 % 131 3,291
Vanderburgh 39.35 % 28,530 55.85 % 40,496 4.80 % 3,481 72,507
주홍 29.99 % 2,081 65.04 % 4,513 4.97 % 345 6,939
비고 40.01 % 15,931 55.09 % 21,937 4.90 % 1,950 39,818
Wabash 22.41 % 3,018 72.92 % 9,821 4.67 % 629 13,468
야생 조수 사육 특권 21.35 % 839 73.74 % 2,898 4.91 % 193 3,930
워릭 30.71% 9,086 64.59% 19,113 4.70% 1,390 29,589
Washington 23.16% 2,636 72.12% 8,209 4.72% 537 11,382
Wayne 32.53% 8,322 62.66% 16,028 4.80% 1,229 25,579
Wells 19.61% 2,586 75.88% 10,005 4.51% 594 13,185
White 25.76% 2,590 68.57% 6,893 5.67% 570 10,053
Whitley 21.63% 3,379 72.70% 11,358 5.67% 886 15,623

Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican

Primary elections

Democratic primary

County results of the Indiana Democratic presidential primary, 2016.
Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton

Two candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:

Indiana Democratic primary, May 3, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 335,074 52.46% 44 0 44
Hillary Clinton 303,705 47.54% 39 7 46
Uncommitted N/A 0 2 2
Total 638,779 100% 83 9 92
Source: The Green Papers - Official Primary Results

Republican primary

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

Indiana Republican primary, May 3, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 591,514 53.26% 57 0 57
Ted Cruz 406,783 36.63% 0 0 0
John Kasich 84,111 7.57% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 8,914 0.80% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 6,508 0.59% 0 0 0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn) 5,175 0.47% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 4,306 0.39% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 1,738 0.16% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 1,494 0.13% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 1,110,543 100.00% 57 0 57
Source: The Green Papers

Polling

Donald Trump won every pre-election poll conducted by at least 5 points, and often by double digits. The average of the last 3 polls showed Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton 49% to 38%.[11] Donald Trump had won almost all the undecided vote, as shown by the results where he won 56% to 37%.

Analysis

Indiana Governor Mike Pence ran as Donald Trump's running-mate

Of the 2,760,375 votes cast, Donald Trump won 1,557,286 votes, Hillary Clinton won 1,033,126 votes and Gary Johnson won 133,993 votes.[2]

Indiana has historically been the most conservative state in the Rust Belt. It went Democratic for Barack Obama in 2008—the first time it had done so since 1964, and only the fourth time since 1912. However, it has shifted back to being solidly Republican. Republican nominee Donald Trump carried the state by 19 points over Democrat Hillary Clinton,[12] thus gaining all of Indiana's 11 electoral votes.

Donald Trump's victory in the Hoosier State can be attributed to several factors. For one, Donald Trump had selected Indiana governor Mike Pence as his running mate, effectively eliminating any chance that Clinton could repeat Obama's surprise upset win in the state over John McCain eight years prior. Also, the state skews whiter and more Evangelical Protestant than the rest of the Midwest and the Rust Belt overall, which is a better demographic make-up for Republicans; Trump won white born-agains and evangelicals by a margin of 75–22.[13]

Suburban communities in the "doughnut counties" surrounding Indianapolis lean heavily Republican, and bolstered the Trump-Pence ticket in the state. Many of these voters are both fiscally and socially conservative. Another GOP stronghold that benefited Trump was the northeast region around Fort Wayne, which is a mix of suburban, exurban and rural areas, and is home to some of the most socially conservative voters in the nation.

In Southern Indiana along the Ohio River, especially around Evansville in Vanderburgh County, the electorate is dominated by "Butternut Democrats:" socially conservative, working-class white voters who were Democrats for generations but have been trending Republican in reaction to the increased social liberalism of national Democrats.[14] Such voters turned out for Trump in full force, inspired by his economic populism and by Pence's social conservatism.

Trump also won in Vigo County, home to Terre Haute and a noted bellwether; it has voted for the winner of every presidential election all but twice since 1892.

Clinton, for her part, performed well in Indianapolis in Marion County and in Gary in Lake County, which has a large African American population and is considered part of the Chicago Metropolitan Area. Clinton won African Americans by a margin of 83–12. She also won St. Joseph and Monroe counties, home to the University of Notre Dame and Indiana University, respectively. Areas where Clinton improved on Obama's performance in 2012 were predominantly located in well-educated suburbs of Indianapolis and areas surrounding large universities, where several socially moderate Republicans chose not to vote for Trump out of discomfort for his controversial views on race and women.

See also

References

  1. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
  2. ^ a b "2016 Presidential General Election Results".
  3. ^ Chalian, David (4 November 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved 17 February 2019.
  4. ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. 7 November 2016. Retrieved 17 February 2019.
  5. ^ "2016 Predicted Electoral Map". Electoral-vote.com. Retrieved 17 February 2019.
  6. ^ Todd, Chuck (7 November 2016). "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton". NBC News. Retrieved 17 February 2019.
  7. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 17 February 2019.
  8. ^ Sabato, Larry (7 November 2016). "The Crystal Ball's 2016 Electoral College ratings". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved 12 February 2019.
  9. ^ "Candidate List". Indiana Secretary of State. Retrieved 2020-11-06.
  10. ^ Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2016, 2012, and 2008 Retrieved 1 March 2020.
  11. ^ https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/in/indiana_trump_vs_clinton-5878.html#polls
  12. ^ "Indiana Election Results 2016". New York Times. Retrieved 2016-11-12.
  13. ^ "2016 election results: Indiana Exit polls". CNN. Retrieved 2016-11-12.
  14. ^ Cohen, Micah (2012-10-19). "After Brief Role as Battleground, Indiana Exits, Stage Right". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2016-11-12.

External links